College students do like their chicken nuggets but I think 665,000+ nuggets per person is a bit excessive. My college has 1,357 students enrolled this year which means if you bought 10-piece nuggets you'd have 665,913 nuggets per student at my school by the time you'd have a 50% chance of landing Virginia Avenue. You need 90,364,428 plays to have a 50% shot at the property. Ross's value matched mine here (the only value that matched by the way). If you were to buy medium fountain drinks at McDonald's, you'd fill over 28 Olympic sized swimming pools with soda before having at least a 50% chance of landing the rare piece.įor some reason, Mr. You would need 112,955,545 plays in order to land the rare light blue property. Ross didn't provide any mathematical work for his values (which makes double-checking his work impossible), I thought I would provide my work for others to check if they would like: I suppose I could have always screwed up on my end too - I'm not above saying that could be the case rather than Mr. Ross used something like Excel which produced some rounding errors?). Oh sure, my values are generally close to his, but not exact.Īs such, with the help of a colleague and Mathematica, I decided to redo all the values and go with my numbers - so here are my results (I used Mathematica to crunch the values for me - I am guessing Mr. It turned out that I was unable to reproduce Mr. Unfortunately, the first value that I tried to verify was the number of plays one would need to have at least a 50% chance at landing Mediterranean Avenue. But as any good instructor, I decided I had better first verify the values that Mr.
I was, of course, elated at first to find that someone else had done all the work for me. Then, I stumbled across this blog entry written by Michael Ross which deals with the 2014 numbers and has now spread all across the web. At first, I found a promising article but it ended up being a direct copy of last year's rules and numbers which didn't help me for this year at all. When I first decided to use McDonald's Monopoly as a lesson, I immediately went to the internet to see if someone else had already gone through the trouble of figuring out the various probabilities for me.
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